Is the Iranian Regime About to Collapse?

(theatlantic.com)

14 points | by Anon84 10 hours ago

3 comments

  • Anon84 10 hours ago
  • xenospn 10 hours ago
    I think a more likely outcome is Iran comes out the other end of this on Monday morning with 5000 dead.
    • JumpCrisscross 5 hours ago
      > a more likely outcome is Iran comes out the other end of this on Monday morning with 5000 dead

      Agree. But what would you wager on that today versus a year ago?

    • biglyburrito 9 hours ago
      Agreed. Apparently at least 2000 are already dead, after the IRGC opened fire on protesters in multiple cities.

      https://www.iranintl.com/en/202601103903

  • WheelsAtLarge 9 hours ago
    Maybe, but the resulting ruling regime will eventually be similar. There will be a lot of talk about getting a democratic government in place and maybe there will be one for a bit but ultimately a dictator like government will rule. It turns out that democracy is hard and people have to be willing to constantly fight to keep it. One man rule seems to be the default government that most people get.
    • JumpCrisscross 5 hours ago
      > democracy is hard and people have to be willing to constantly fight to keep it

      I’m similarly pessimistic about democracy being a universal model. But Iran is a millennia-old civilization with a history that includes strongmen and local rule. If there is somewhere in the Middle East a true republic should work, it’s in Iran.