The missing digit of Stela C

(johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com)

100 points | by chmaynard 1 day ago

5 comments

  • RupertSalt 22 hours ago
    Okay, my fault for skipping a lot of stuff in the middle, but a question began to burn in my mind. They have determined the full inscription, calculated the Olmec date, and correlated it to our Gregorian reckoning. The end of the article says:

      So, while 32 BC seemed awfully early for the Olmecs to carve this stone, there’s no way they could have done it later. (Or earlier, for that matter.)
    
    But I am not sure if this resolves the burning question: what makes everyone believe that the inscription corresponded to the current date? Certainly, that is a common custom when erecting a monument, but what if Olmec logic said "let us commemorate this auspicious event that occurred 300 years ago!" or "Let us anticipate the far future in 5,000 years from now!" for example.
    • nraynaud 22 hours ago
      Seems to be an eclipse at that date, if they weren’t able to predict them, they had to have seen it.
      • RupertSalt 22 hours ago
        Now that piques my interest. Could you be more specific?

        Using Stellarium, set the location to Tres Zapotes, but not knowing how far off the calendar's reckoning would be, the closest I have come is a partial solar eclipse, after 9pm on September 1, -23.

        Stellarium literally indicates a "Year 0" so BC years could be off-by-one, or off-by-Julian-and-equinox-precession, I just have no idea.

        Wikipedia doesn't list any [Lunar/Solar] that are anywhere near 32 BC.

        Previously: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45922610

        • nraynaud 21 hours ago
          Sorry that was in French

          https://peuplesautochtones.wordpress.com/2022/05/21/sites-ar...

          “Il a été proposé qu’elle puisse commémorer une éclipse lunaire qui a précédé une éclipse solaire de deux semaines.” >”It was proposed that it could commemorate a lunar eclipse preceding a solar eclipse by two weeks”

          I was very lazy in my search, so I didn’t check anything about this page.

      • lukeschlather 16 hours ago
        Or they had a detailed record of all eclipses going back several hundred years. I guess it would make sense that this was the record but it's also plausible they had some ritual reason to refer to a date of an eclipse when building this thing.
        • nraynaud 13 hours ago
          a continuous chain of memories is enough to consider it the same culture. They did not imply that the date was the carving date, but that the culture extended as far back as that date.
    • MarkusQ 11 hours ago
      As I understand it, the Olmecs were around maybe 1500BC to 300BC or so at the outside. Yet the article says "32 BC seemed awfully early for the Olmecs to carve this stone". WTF? Early? They'd been mostly gone for hundreds of years by that point.

      If anything, assuming they carved it earlier and included the data of the eclipse as a forecast make as much or more sense. But the article is full of points like this, that seem superficially reasonable unless you look at them a little more closely.

    • mwban 22 hours ago
      [flagged]
      • 6LLvveMx2koXfwn 22 hours ago
        In case anyone couldn't be bothered to Wiki, a baktun is 394.26 tropical years (aka years!). So 'a few bactuns back' might sound like a jiffy but could in fact be a millennium or more!
      • RupertSalt 22 hours ago
        Well good work, you insightful claude!
  • MarkusQ 18 hours ago
    This seems weirdly...off. Take the reference to Julius Scalier. What in the heck is he doing here? Did somebody do a quick and sloppy search for Julius Caesar? Or mangle Joseph Justus Scaliger and Julius Caesar together and try to take the average? This seems like a very strange thing to do.
    • verzali 1 hour ago
      The source seems to be here: https://bsky.app/profile/gro-tsen.bsky.social/post/3meiqswj7...

      It is a weird error, true.

    • marssaxman 14 hours ago
      > mangle Joseph Justus Scaliger and Julius Caesar together and try to take the average

      Such a person actually existed:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julius_Caesar_Scaliger

      This sheds no light on the mystery of "Julius Scalier", of course, but it amused me.

      • MarkusQ 12 hours ago
        Right, I know he existed. But what is he doing in this article? I'm loath to cry "LLM!" but this seems like a really weird error for a human to make. Sort of like getting Babe Ruth, Ruth Bader Ginsberg and the Lindbergh Baby confused in your head.
        • pseudohadamard 4 hours ago
          Could just be sloppy writing. The first instance that grabbed me was "The Julian Date simply counts the number of days from an arbitrary remote reference point", it's not arbitrary, it was chosen specifically because three major time cycles, solar, lunar, and the other one, all coincide at that point.
  • Luc 22 hours ago
    For those confused like me: the line drawing shows both halves of the stela, including the ‘7’ (-..) just above the break. The bottom half was found 30 years before the top.
  • cornholio 22 hours ago
    Im still unclear how they determined the constant to convert from long mesoamerican to GMT. What common reference event could allow syncing these calendars to a +/- 3 day precision? I would guess some solar eclipse pattern visible from both sides of the Atlantic?
    • apothegm 22 hours ago
      They knew about and could identify solstices, which gives you day of the year. So then it’s just a matter of matching years, which can be done on the basis of things like comets.

      Supernovae could also play a factor. Or using tree rings to identify years mentioned as having droughts or floods.

      Probably a bunch of other things we haven’t thought of.

    • gucci-on-fleek 21 hours ago
      The Wikipedia page linked in the article [0] has a plausible-sounding explanation.

      [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mesoamerican_Long_Count_calend...

    • nraynaud 21 hours ago
      I guess in modern time we can compute eclipses from the past?
  • jovial_cavalier 19 hours ago
    The entire quoted section in the middle adds nothing. It just keeps repeating the same things over and over, and it doesn't answer the question of how we know the offset at all. Makes me think his "friend" is an LLM.