7 comments

  • rayiner 54 minutes ago
    The ungameable statistic is the native born labor force participation rate, which also ticked down: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU01373413.

    Unfortunately, that figure never recovered from the pandemic. It also never recovered from a major drop after the 2008 recession.

    • onlyrealcuzzo 45 minutes ago
      As the population continues to age, and more people are 62+, this is expected...
      • djohnston 41 minutes ago
        I don’t think that’s telling the whole story.

        Immigration has always been used as leverage against the native workers, and now it’s more efficiently corrupt than ever.

      • idiotsecant 41 minutes ago
        Look at that trajectory one more time and tell me how 'expected' it is.

        The first stages of a worldwide recession is what it looks like to me.

    • nobodyandproud 27 minutes ago
      I’m naturalized—very, very long term—but I couldn’t find any stats that track by US citizens.

      I suppose that makes me a second-class citizen?

      • bicx 19 minutes ago
        It means that if we cut off or discourage immigration, we can’t count on non-native citizens to continue boosting our numbers. So, we have to look at the native-born stats to get an idea of our future.
        • 46493168 18 minutes ago
          The future is a labor shortage. Good for wages, bad for inflation.
      • bojan 15 minutes ago
        You have one right fewer than natively born Americans - you can't become the President. Make of that what you will.
      • 46493168 18 minutes ago
        [flagged]
    • rafaelmn 41 minutes ago
      Is this working age population or all ages ?
      • Knufferlbert 17 minutes ago
        That seems to be everyone above 16 years of age. It excludes inmates, that is penal and mental institutions (which in the land of the free is surprisingly sizeable chunk). Also excludes active military personnel. Notably it includes people who are disabled but are unable to work.
      • throwawaysleep 23 minutes ago
        It is a historical range of working age, so it includes people who are 16 and over and everyone until the die of old age.
  • dgellow 33 minutes ago
    I understand the US economy is experiencing some… troubled times. However, 4.4% unemployment rate, while that’s an increase, sounds really low compared to other countries. Am I missing something?
    • mrtksn 19 minutes ago
      US economy is robust, the problem is that people don’t have the same safety nets when out of work.

      No job means no healthcare or reduced coverage for many people for example so it is a bigger deal to have unemployment.

      Which means a Finnish or Spanish level unemployment would be much more catastrophic, however anyone expecting demise of the US will have to keep waiting as the country is very rich and developed and as a result they will re-group and be fine - eventually.

    • alephnerd 22 minutes ago
      "The fall was led by a drop in healthcare employment following widespread strikes by medical workers in New York, California and Hawaii"
    • sbochins 23 minutes ago
      You’re absolutely right. The labor market is still quite strong. All the doom and gloom from places like HN is coming from the many layoff announcements and fear of AI.
      • Madmallard 15 minutes ago
        Or the reality, which is that the numbers are royally fudged and the statistic is a farce.
        • alephnerd 8 minutes ago
          It's not that numbers are a farce but different industry segments are doing better or worse than other.

          HN being a tech forum that now increasingly skews East and Midwest (heck, it's not even 7am yet in the West, but look at the degree of engagement on here) means most HNers are impacted by a slowdown in tech hiring, which exacerbates the sense of pessimism.

          And tbf, if you aren't working in a tech hub like the Bay or NYC, you are going to be screwed if you are laid off - employers increasingly restrict remote work to those employees who have proven internal track records, and inshoring hubs like in RTP, Denver, Atlanta, etc are on the chopping block.

  • WalterGR 1 hour ago
    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47275035

    US economy unexpectedly sheds 92k jobs in February (bbc.com)

    524 points | 23 hours ago | 733 comments

  • wood_spirit 1 hour ago
  • alkyon 1 hour ago
  • 9dev 1 hour ago
    In fact, we're winning so much that we really don't know what to do about it. People are asking me, please, please, please, Mr. President, we're winning too much. We can't take it anymore. We're not used to winning in our country until you came along, we're just always losing. But now we're winning too much. And I say, no, no, no, you're going to win again. You're going to win big. You're going to win bigger than ever.